Tampa Bay @ New Orleans props

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints offense as the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.93 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Juwan Johnson to garner 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's collection of safeties has been terrible since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the league.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context). The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (76%) versus RBs since the start of last season (76.0%). New Orleans defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 62.5 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Mike Evans to notch 8.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Mike Evans has been among the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 5.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints offense as the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.93 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The projections expect Chris Olave to accrue 9.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Chris Olave has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile. Chris Olave's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 60.1% to 65.6%.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints offense as the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.93 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect Alvin Kamara to accrue 4.2 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs. Alvin Kamara has been among the best pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.8 receptions per game while checking in at the 96th percentile. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's collection of safeties has been terrible since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the league.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 62.5 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Cade Otton has run a route on 65.7% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile among TEs. Cade Otton has been among the best TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

Chris Godwin has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Thomas has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Rashid Shaheed has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.