Chicago @ Washington props

The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script. In this week's game, D.J. Moore is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 79th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets. D.J. Moore's pass-catching performance gotten better this year, compiling 4.7 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 3.7 last year. D.J. Moore's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 57.7% to 78.8%.

The Commanders are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense Chicago Bears, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.0 per game) this year.

The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script. In this week's contest, Cole Kmet is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 88th percentile among tight ends with 5.4 targets. Cole Kmet's receiving talent has gotten better this year, notching 4.4 adjusted catches vs a measly 3.0 last year. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's LB corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script. The projections expect Khalil Herbert to accumulate 3.4 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs. Khalil Herbert's 11.6% Target Share this year illustrates a an impressive gain in his pass game usage over last year's 4.3% mark. Khalil Herbert's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a a noteworthy improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 0.7 mark. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's LB corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 11.3% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). Our trusted projections expect the Commanders as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.4% pass rate. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced run volume. In this game, Logan Thomas is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.5 targets. Logan Thomas has been among the leading TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 11.3% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). Our trusted projections expect the Commanders as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.4% pass rate. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced run volume. In this week's contest, Terry McLaurin is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile among WRs with 7.1 targets. With an outstanding 5.2 adjusted catches per game (83rd percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin has been as one of the top wide receivers in the league in the league.

Antonio Gibson has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Jahan Dotson has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Equanimeous St. Brown has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 7 games.

Darnell Mooney has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Curtis Samuel has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Roschon Johnson has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.