Carolina @ Detroit props

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). The Panthers are an enormous 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Panthers to pass on 59.9% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.46 seconds per snap. Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The model projects Sam LaPorta to total 7.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs. With a high 22.5% Target% (98th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta places as one of the TEs with the most usage in football. With a remarkable 5.5 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta stands as one of the best TE receiving threats in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Josh Reynolds's 40.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 32.4. The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board. The Panthers pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.1%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (71.1%).

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect David Montgomery to accumulate 3.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs. The leading projections forecast David Montgomery to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack in this contest (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.4% in games he has played). With an exceptional 88.8% Adjusted Completion% (96th percentile) since the start of last season, David Montgomery ranks among the most reliable receivers in the league among running backs.

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). The Panthers are an enormous 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Panthers to pass on 59.9% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.46 seconds per snap. Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). The Panthers are an enormous 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Panthers to pass on 59.9% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league. Adam Thielen's receiving talent has gotten a boost this year, totaling 6.8 adjusted catches compared to just 4.1 last year.

Chuba Hubbard has gone over 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Jonathan Mingo has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jameson Williams has gone over 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

DJ Chark Jr. has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kalif Raymond has gone over 3.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.