DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
Dallas 1st NFC East12-5
Los Angeles 4th AFC West5-12
ABC

Dallas @ Los Angeles props

SoFi Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tony Pollard Receptions Made Props • Dallas

T. Pollard
running back RB • Dallas
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
+123
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
+123
Projection Rating

The Cowboys have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. Tony Pollard's 57.5% Route% this year indicates a a material progression in his air attack workload over last year's 44.3% figure. The model projects Tony Pollard to notch 4.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs. Tony Pollard's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, notching 3.8 adjusted receptions vs just 2.4 last year.

Tony Pollard

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

The Cowboys have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. Tony Pollard's 57.5% Route% this year indicates a a material progression in his air attack workload over last year's 44.3% figure. The model projects Tony Pollard to notch 4.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs. Tony Pollard's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, notching 3.8 adjusted receptions vs just 2.4 last year.

Keenan Allen Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

K. Allen
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays run: the 3rd-most among all games this week. The 8th-most plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.2 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Keenan Allen's receiving performance has improved this year, totaling 8.5 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 6.5 last year.

Keenan Allen

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.7

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays run: the 3rd-most among all games this week. The 8th-most plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.2 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Keenan Allen's receiving performance has improved this year, totaling 8.5 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 6.5 last year.

Gerald Everett Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

G. Everett
tight end TE • L.A. Chargers
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.5
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.5
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays run: the 3rd-most among all games this week. The 8th-most plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.2 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Gerald Everett's 93.3% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a a substantial improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 69.2% figure.

Gerald Everett

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.5

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays run: the 3rd-most among all games this week. The 8th-most plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.2 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Gerald Everett's 93.3% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a a substantial improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 69.2% figure.

Austin Ekeler Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

A. Ekeler
running back RB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays run: the 3rd-most among all games this week. The 8th-most plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.2 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. In this game, Austin Ekeler is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.2 targets.

Austin Ekeler

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays run: the 3rd-most among all games this week. The 8th-most plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.2 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. In this game, Austin Ekeler is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.2 targets.

Jake Ferguson Receptions Made Props • Dallas

J. Ferguson
tight end TE • Dallas
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The Cowboys have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. This week, Jake Ferguson is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 88th percentile among TEs with 5.7 targets. Jake Ferguson has been a much bigger part of his offense's air attack this season (17.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (4.5%). Jake Ferguson's pass-catching performance been refined this year, averaging 4.1 adjusted receptions compared to just 1.7 last year.

Jake Ferguson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

The Cowboys have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. This week, Jake Ferguson is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 88th percentile among TEs with 5.7 targets. Jake Ferguson has been a much bigger part of his offense's air attack this season (17.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (4.5%). Jake Ferguson's pass-catching performance been refined this year, averaging 4.1 adjusted receptions compared to just 1.7 last year.

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Made Props • Dallas

C. Lamb
wide receiver WR • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

The Cowboys have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. The predictive model expects CeeDee Lamb to total 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers. With an excellent 5.4 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) this year, CeeDee Lamb ranks as one of the best WRs in the NFL in football. CeeDee Lamb's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 71.7% to 76.8%.

CeeDee Lamb

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.9

The Cowboys have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. The predictive model expects CeeDee Lamb to total 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers. With an excellent 5.4 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) this year, CeeDee Lamb ranks as one of the best WRs in the NFL in football. CeeDee Lamb's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 71.7% to 76.8%.

Joshua Palmer Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

J. Palmer
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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