San Francisco @ Minnesota props

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The projections expect Christian McCaffrey to earn 5.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs. With an outstanding 3.8 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey places among the top pass-catching RBs in football. Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 85.1% to 88.8%. The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (85.0%).

The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year. In this contest, Jordan Addison is projected by the projections to finish in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.1 targets.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. This week, Brandon Aiyuk is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 94th percentile among WRs with 9.3 targets. With a RATE1-RATE2 point spike in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, Brandon Aiyuk has been more heavily utilized in his team's passing offense. With an exceptional 5.1 adjusted receptions per game (87th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk rates among the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the league. The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (77.6%) versus wideouts this year (77.6%).

The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year. T.J. Hockenson's 6.0 adjusted catches per game this season represents a a meaningful boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 3.5 mark.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The model projects George Kittle to accumulate 6.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs. This year, the deficient Vikings pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 77.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the biggest rate in the NFL.

The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year. This week, Alexander Mattison is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 92nd percentile among running backs with 4.7 targets.