Las Vegas @ Detroit props

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions this year (a staggering 61.1 per game on average). The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. Amon-Ra St. Brown has run a route on 93.7% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among WRs. Our trusted projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 10.5 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile among wideouts. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 8.6 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a significant growth in his receiving skills over last season's 6.7 rate.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions this year (a staggering 61.1 per game on average). The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. In this week's game, Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated by the model to place in the 99th percentile among running backs with 5.9 targets. With an impressive 16.0% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL. Jahmyr Gibbs ranks as one of the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging a stellar 4.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.

The Raiders will be forced to start backup quarterback Brian Hoyer in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The Raiders are a giant 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league. In this week's game, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 95th percentile among running backs with 4.8 targets.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions this year (a staggering 61.1 per game on average). The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. This week, Sam LaPorta is expected by the projections to land in the 95th percentile among tight ends with 6.9 targets. Sam LaPorta's 45.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 96th percentile for tight ends. Sam LaPorta ranks as one of the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging an outstanding 5.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

The Raiders will be forced to start backup quarterback Brian Hoyer in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The Raiders are a giant 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league. With a terrific 6.6 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, Davante Adams places as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

The Raiders will be forced to start backup quarterback Brian Hoyer in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The Raiders are a giant 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league. The Las Vegas O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.