Arizona @ Cleveland props

The Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB Clayton Tune this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a giant -13.5-point underdog in this game. In this contest, Trey McBride is forecasted by the projections to slot into the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.2 targets. While Trey McBride has received 13.5% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Arizona's offense in this game at 22.7%. With an exceptional 3.1 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Trey McBride rates among the best tight ends in the pass game in football.

The Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized). At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in football (55.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cardinals. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by our trusted projection set to call just 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week. Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL. The Arizona offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Browns are a huge favorite in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 48.4% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week. The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Cardinals, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.9 per game) this year. Amari Cooper's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 64.9% to 54.5%.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 66.1 per game on average). The model projects David Njoku to accumulate 5.1 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends. The Cleveland offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board. David Njoku profiles as one of the top pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 4.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 87th percentile. The Cardinals defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Browns are a huge favorite in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 48.4% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week. The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Cardinals, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.9 per game) this year. Kareem Hunt's 72.7% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates an impressive decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 86.3% rate.

The Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB Clayton Tune this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a giant -13.5-point underdog in this game.