DET -7.5 o50.0
IND 7.5 u50.0
TEN 7.5 o41.0
HOU -7.5 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -6.0 o41.0
NYG 6.0 u41.0
DAL 10.5 o45.5
WAS -10.5 u45.5
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 5.5 o44.5
GB -5.5 u44.5
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -2.0 o51.0
LAC 2.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
Indianapolis 3rd AFC South9-8
New England 4th AFC East4-13
NFL

Indianapolis @ New England props

Deutsche Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Made Props • New England

R. Stevenson
running back RB • New England
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
+114

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Rhamondre Stevenson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Kylen Granson Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

K. Granson
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Kylen Granson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Demario Douglas Receptions Made Props • New England

D. Douglas
wide receiver WR • New England
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Over
-136

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Demario Douglas to accrue 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Demario Douglas

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Demario Douglas to accrue 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Michael Pittman Jr. Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

M. Pittman Jr.
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to notch 10.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Michael Pittman Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.6

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to notch 10.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Hunter Henry Receptions Made Props • New England

H. Henry
tight end TE • New England
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-155

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. In this week's contest, Hunter Henry is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets.

Hunter Henry

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. In this week's contest, Hunter Henry is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets.

Jonathan Taylor Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

J. Taylor
running back RB • Indianapolis
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-170

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. In this week's game, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.4 targets. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Jonathan Taylor

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. In this week's game, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.4 targets. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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