CIN 5.5 o52.5
BAL -5.5 u52.5
NYG -4.5 o41.5
CAR 4.5 u41.5
DEN 9.5 o41.5
KC -9.5 u41.5
BUF -4.5 o46.5
IND 4.5 u46.5
MIN -4.0 o48.5
JAC 4.0 u48.5
PIT 2.5 o45.5
WAS -2.5 u45.5
SF -6.5 o48.5
TB 6.5 u48.5
ATL -3.0 o46.5
NO 3.0 u46.5
NE 6.5 o39.0
CHI -6.5 u39.0
TEN 7.5 o38.0
LAC -7.5 u38.0
PHI -7.5 o41.5
DAL 7.5 u41.5
NYJ 1.0 o45.5
ARI -1.0 u45.5
DET -3.0 o50.0
HOU 3.0 u50.0
MIA 2.5 o51.0
LA -2.5 u51.0
Indianapolis 3rd AFC South9-8
New England 4th AFC East4-13
NFL

Indianapolis @ New England props

Deutsche Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Props • New England

R. Stevenson
running back RB • New England
Prop
47.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
64.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 14.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Rhamondre Stevenson

Prop: 47.5 Rushing Yards
Projection: 64.2
Prop:
47.5 Rushing Yards
Projection:
64.2

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 14.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Props • New England

H. Henry
tight end TE • New England
Prop
29.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
39.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. In this week's contest, Hunter Henry is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets.

Hunter Henry

Prop: 29.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 39.7
Prop:
29.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
39.7

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. In this week's contest, Hunter Henry is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets.

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Props • New England

D. Douglas
wide receiver WR • New England
Prop
42.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
54.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Demario Douglas to accrue 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Demario Douglas

Prop: 42.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 54.3
Prop:
42.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
54.3

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Demario Douglas to accrue 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Props • New England

M. Jones
quarterback QB • New England
Prop
4.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Mac Jones

Prop: 4.5 Rushing Yards
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
4.5 Rushing Yards
Projection:
9.7

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Mac Jones Passing Yards Props • New England

M. Jones
quarterback QB • New England
Prop
222.5
Passing Yards
Projection
247.7
Best Odds
Over
-113

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This week, Mac Jones is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.

Mac Jones

Prop: 222.5 Passing Yards
Projection: 247.7
Prop:
222.5 Passing Yards
Projection:
247.7

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This week, Mac Jones is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Props • New England

R. Stevenson
running back RB • New England
Prop
20.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
27.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Rhamondre Stevenson

Prop: 20.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 27.9
Prop:
20.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
27.9

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards Props • Indianapolis

G. Minshew
quarterback QB • Indianapolis
Prop
3.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 7th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.

Gardner Minshew

Prop: 3.5 Rushing Yards
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
3.5 Rushing Yards
Projection:
7.1

Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 7th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Props • Indianapolis

J. Taylor
running back RB • Indianapolis
Prop
64.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
75.9
Best Odds
Over
-112

Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 7th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to notch 17.5 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Jonathan Taylor

Prop: 64.5 Rushing Yards
Projection: 75.9
Prop:
64.5 Rushing Yards
Projection:
75.9

Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 7th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to notch 17.5 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Gardner Minshew Passing Yards Props • Indianapolis

G. Minshew
quarterback QB • Indianapolis
Prop
238.5
Passing Yards
Projection
223.9
Best Odds
Under
-110

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Gardner Minshew

Prop: 238.5 Passing Yards
Projection: 223.9
Prop:
238.5 Passing Yards
Projection:
223.9

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Props • Indianapolis

J. Taylor
running back RB • Indianapolis
Prop
19.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. In this week's game, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.4 targets. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Jonathan Taylor

Prop: 19.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
19.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
23.7

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. In this week's game, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.4 targets. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Michael Pittman Jr. Receiving Yards Props • Indianapolis

M. Pittman Jr.
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Prop
65.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
71.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
65.5 Receiving Yards
Projection
71.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to notch 10.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Michael Pittman Jr.

Prop: 65.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 71.7
Prop:
65.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
71.7

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to notch 10.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Mac Jones Passing Attempts Props • New England

M. Jones
quarterback QB • New England
Prop
33.5
Passing Attempts
Projection
36.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This week, Mac Jones is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.

Mac Jones

Prop: 33.5 Passing Attempts
Projection: 36.9
Prop:
33.5 Passing Attempts
Projection:
36.9

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This week, Mac Jones is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.

Mac Jones Passing Completions Props • New England

M. Jones
quarterback QB • New England
Prop
21.5
Passing Completions
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This week, Mac Jones is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.

Mac Jones

Prop: 21.5 Passing Completions
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
21.5 Passing Completions
Projection:
23.9

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This week, Mac Jones is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Made Props • New England

R. Stevenson
running back RB • New England
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
+114

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Rhamondre Stevenson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Gardner Minshew Passing Attempts Props • Indianapolis

G. Minshew
quarterback QB • Indianapolis
Prop
32.5
Passing Attempts
Projection
35.4
Best Odds
Over
-130

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.

Gardner Minshew

Prop: 32.5 Passing Attempts
Projection: 35.4
Prop:
32.5 Passing Attempts
Projection:
35.4

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.

Kylen Granson Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

K. Granson
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Kylen Granson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Demario Douglas Receptions Made Props • New England

D. Douglas
wide receiver WR • New England
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Over
-136

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Demario Douglas to accrue 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Demario Douglas

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Demario Douglas to accrue 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Michael Pittman Jr. Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

M. Pittman Jr.
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to notch 10.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Michael Pittman Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.6

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to notch 10.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Hunter Henry Receptions Made Props • New England

H. Henry
tight end TE • New England
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-155

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. In this week's contest, Hunter Henry is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets.

Hunter Henry

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. In this week's contest, Hunter Henry is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets.

Gardner Minshew Interceptions Thrown Props • Indianapolis

G. Minshew
quarterback QB • Indianapolis
Prop
0.5
Interceptions Thrown
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Gardner Minshew

Prop: 0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection:
0.8

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Jonathan Taylor Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

J. Taylor
running back RB • Indianapolis
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-170

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. In this week's game, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.4 targets. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Jonathan Taylor

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. In this week's game, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.4 targets. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Kylen Granson Receiving Yards Props • Indianapolis

K. Granson
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Prop
22.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
22.5 Receiving Yards
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Kylen Granson

Prop: 22.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
22.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
23.3

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Gardner Minshew Passing Completions Props • Indianapolis

G. Minshew
quarterback QB • Indianapolis
Prop
21.5
Passing Completions
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-108

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Gardner Minshew

Prop: 21.5 Passing Completions
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Passing Completions
Projection:
21.8

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game. The Colts O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Mac Jones Interceptions Thrown Props • New England

M. Jones
quarterback QB • New England
Prop
0.5
Interceptions Thrown
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This week, Mac Jones is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.

Mac Jones

Prop: 0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection:
0.8

The predictive model expects the Patriots to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This week, Mac Jones is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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