Cleveland @ Baltimore props

A throwing game script is indicated by the Browns being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per snap. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. The leading projections forecast Jerome Ford to accrue 3.9 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs. Jerome Ford has been in the 86th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 18.4 figure this year.

The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week. In this contest, Mark Andrews is expected by the model to rank in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.0 targets. The Ravens offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board. Mark Andrews rates as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 5.2 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Browns being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per snap. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. In this week's game, David Njoku is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.9 targets. With a fantastic 4.0 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, David Njoku places among the top TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Browns being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per snap. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. The predictive model expects Amari Cooper to accumulate 8.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among wideouts. Amari Cooper ranks in the 90th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 65.2 mark this year.

The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week. Zay Flowers has run a route on 91.5% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among wideouts. The leading projections forecast Zay Flowers to accumulate 7.0 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. With an exceptional 5.1 adjusted catches per game (89th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates as one of the top wide receivers in the game in the NFL.