San Francisco @ Jacksonville props

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL. Calvin Ridley has run a route on 92.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among WRs.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in football. In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the projection model to finish in the 96th percentile among running backs with 5.6 targets. With an outstanding 4.0 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey rates among the best RB receiving threats in the NFL. Christian McCaffrey's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 85.1% to 94.3%. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.4%) to RBs this year (86.4%).

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL. Evan Engram's 6.3 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a significant growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 4.3 rate.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in football. This week, George Kittle is predicted by the projections to rank in the 87th percentile among TEs with 5.5 targets. With a RATE1-RATE2 point surge in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, George Kittle has been more prominently used in his team's pass game. With a remarkable 4.0 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, George Kittle has been as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in football. In this week's game, Brandon Aiyuk is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.2 targets. Brandon Aiyuk's 81.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 58.8. With an exceptional 5.1 adjusted catches per game (89th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in football.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL. Travis Etienne's receiving skills have gotten better this year, notching 3.4 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 2.1 last year.