Detroit @ Los Angeles props

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume. In this week's contest, Austin Ekeler is anticipated by the projections to rank in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs with 6.8 targets. Austin Ekeler has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 15.6% this year, which puts him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Lions have been the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.9% pass rate. David Montgomery has run fewer routes this season (39.2% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (56.7%). David Montgomery's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 88.0% to 65.7%.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume. Keenan Allen has run a route on 96.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Keenan Allen's pass-catching performance gotten better this year, totaling 7.6 adjusted catches vs just 6.5 last year.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are expected by the predictive model to call 65.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The Detroit Lions have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 62.8 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL. The model projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 10.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 8.2 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a remarkable progression in his receiving talent over last season's 6.7 mark.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume. Our trusted projections expect Gerald Everett to garner 4.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among TEs. Gerald Everett's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 69.2% to 84.2%.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are expected by the predictive model to call 65.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The Detroit Lions have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 62.8 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL. This week, Sam LaPorta is predicted by the model to rank in the 99th percentile among tight ends with 7.7 targets. Sam LaPorta rates as one of the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an impressive 5.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

Josh Reynolds has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jahmyr Gibbs has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jameson Williams has gone over 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Jalen Guyton has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 8 games.

Quentin Johnston has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kalif Raymond has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Donald Parham Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.