Lumen Field
This year, the strong Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a paltry 74.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 3rd-best rate in the NFL.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.
The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.9% pass rate. The model projects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Commanders defense this year: 7th-most in football. The predictive model expects Tyler Lockett to total 7.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers. With an exceptional 23.7% Target Share (87th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett places as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.
The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 14.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized). At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. The model projects the Commanders to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (38.0 per game) this year. Logan Thomas's 4.0 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a remarkable improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 2.9 figure.
