New York @ Las Vegas props

The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to total 10.0 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Garrett Wilson profiles as one of the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging an impressive 5.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Raiders to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Jets, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 33.5 per game) this year. This year, the fierce New York Jets defense has yielded a paltry 65.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 5th-best rate in football.

The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. This week, Breece Hall is forecasted by the model to rank in the 91st percentile among running backs with 4.9 targets. Breece Hall profiles as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 2.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect Tyler Conklin to notch 4.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among tight ends. Tyler Conklin grades out as one of the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.3 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this contest, Davante Adams is expected by the predictive model to place in the 96th percentile among WRs with 9.8 targets. With a high 32.5% Target Rate (99th percentile) this year, Davante Adams ranks as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board. With a fantastic 5.6 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) this year, Davante Adams ranks as one of the leading pass-catching WRs in football.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 80th percentile among RBs with 4.1 targets. With a RATE1-RATE2 point growth in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Josh Jacobs has been more heavily relied on in his offense's passing game. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board. Josh Jacobs grades out as one of the leading pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an excellent 3.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.