Dallas @ Carolina props

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year. Chuba Hubbard's 83.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a significant decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 87.5% mark. The Cowboys pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.1%) versus running backs this year (78.1%). The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

The Cowboys have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 6.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.8 plays per game. In this week's game, Jake Ferguson is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 87th percentile among tight ends with 5.3 targets. Jake Ferguson's 15.9% Target Share this season indicates an impressive gain in his pass attack usage over last season's 4.5% mark.

The Cowboys have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 6.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.8 plays per game. This week, CeeDee Lamb is anticipated by the model to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.9 targets. CeeDee Lamb's 7.5 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a remarkable boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 6.2 figure.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year. The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

The Carolina Panthers feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 6.6% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). This game's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -11.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 61.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.70 seconds per snap. Adam Thielen's play as a receiver has improved this season, accumulating 7.6 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 4.1 last season.

The Cowboys have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 6.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.8 plays per game. Tony Pollard's 56.7% Route Participation% this year shows a significant progression in his air attack usage over last year's 44.3% rate. With a terrific 3.2 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) this year, Tony Pollard places as one of the best running backs in the pass game in football.