Seattle @ Los Angeles props

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip on the slate this week. At just 26.93 seconds per play, the Seattle Seahawks offense rates as the 9th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year. In this game, Tyler Lockett is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.2 targets. With a sizeable 23.9% Target% (87th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett places among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league. With an impressive 5.2 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett stands among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in football.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board. Cooper Kupp's 4.6 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 8.1 mark. Cooper Kupp's 53.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a significant regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 76.4% mark. The Seattle cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board. Tyler Higbee's 2.8 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a material decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 4.4 mark. Tyler Higbee's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.6% to 64.0%. The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.7%) to running backs this year (78.7%). The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point decline in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Noah Fant has been used much less in his offense's pass game.

DK Metcalf has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Tutu Atwell has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Puka Nacua has gone over 5.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.