DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
New Orleans 2nd NFC South9-8
Atlanta 3rd NFC South7-10

New Orleans @ Atlanta props

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alvin Kamara Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

A. Kamara
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
-105

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Saints are expected by the projections to call 67.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New Orleans Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. Alvin Kamara's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, notching 7.1 adjusted catches compared to a mere 3.8 last year.

Alvin Kamara

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.2

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Saints are expected by the projections to call 67.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New Orleans Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. Alvin Kamara's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, notching 7.1 adjusted catches compared to a mere 3.8 last year.

Drake London Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

D. London
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
+120

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 137.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Falcons this year (a whopping 61.9 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The model projects Drake London to garner 7.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among wideouts. Drake London comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a stellar 4.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.

Drake London

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.8

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 137.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Falcons this year (a whopping 61.9 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The model projects Drake London to garner 7.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among wideouts. Drake London comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a stellar 4.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.

Bijan Robinson Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

B. Robinson
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Over
-130

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 137.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Falcons this year (a whopping 61.9 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 67.2% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among RBs. The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to earn 4.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Bijan Robinson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.2

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 137.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Falcons this year (a whopping 61.9 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 67.2% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among RBs. The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to earn 4.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Kyle Pitts Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

K. Pitts
tight end TE • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
+106

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 137.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Falcons this year (a whopping 61.9 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. This week, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.1 targets. Kyle Pitts profiles as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

Kyle Pitts

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.8

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 137.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Falcons this year (a whopping 61.9 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. This week, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.1 targets. Kyle Pitts profiles as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

Chris Olave Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

C. Olave
wide receiver WR • New Orleans
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-109

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Saints are expected by the projections to call 67.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New Orleans Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. In this contest, Chris Olave is projected by the model to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.4 targets.

Chris Olave

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.7

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Saints are expected by the projections to call 67.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New Orleans Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. In this contest, Chris Olave is projected by the model to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.4 targets.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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