Carolina @ Tennessee props

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Titans, who are favored by 3.5 points. Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have only 125.5 offensive plays called: the fewest on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football. DeAndre Hopkins's 4.3 adjusted catches per game this season shows a noteworthy reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 6.8 rate.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are predicted by the model to run just 62.6 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week. Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (just 33.8 per game) this year. The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are predicted by the model to run just 62.6 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week. Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (just 33.8 per game) this year. The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans offensive gameplan to lean 2.1% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays. The predictive model expects Chigoziem Okonkwo to notch 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among tight ends. Chigoziem Okonkwo's 31.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 23.7.

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive gameplan to skew 6.6% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays. This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 62.1 plays per game. Chuba Hubbard has been used more as a potential target this year (40.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (24.7%). Chuba Hubbard's receiving performance has improved this year, averaging 2.3 adjusted catches vs a mere 1.2 last year.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans offensive gameplan to lean 2.1% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays. Derrick Henry's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 84.3% to 95.3%.