Atlanta @ New York props

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Tim Boyle in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the New York Jets offense to lean 1.8% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett now calling the plays. The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.6 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. In this game, Garrett Wilson is projected by the projection model to finish in the 98th percentile among wideouts with 10.7 targets.

The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (just 54.9 per game on average). With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) from last year to this one, Breece Hall has been featured much less in his team's passing attack. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets grades out as the worst in the league this year.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 6th-most plays in the league have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a colossal 61.5 per game on average). Bijan Robinson has run a route on 66.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among RBs. The projections expect Bijan Robinson to notch 4.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile among RBs. The Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Tim Boyle in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the New York Jets offense to lean 1.8% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett now calling the plays. The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.6 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. Tyler Conklin is positioned as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an excellent 3.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 6th-most plays in the league have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a colossal 61.5 per game on average). Our trusted projections expect Drake London to total 6.9 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs. The Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board. With a fantastic 4.5 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) this year, Drake London ranks as one of the best WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 6th-most plays in the league have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a colossal 61.5 per game on average). In this contest, Kyle Pitts is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.3 targets. The Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board. Kyle Pitts's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 49.3% to 62.3%.