Denver @ Houston props

The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. In this week's game, Javonte Williams is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 88th percentile among RBs with 4.4 targets. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year. With a terrific 2.6 adjusted receptions per game (76th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams has been as one of the leading running backs in the pass game in football.

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on running than their standard game plan. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are expected by the projection model to run only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 10th-most plays in the league have been run by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The predictive model expects Nathaniel Dell to earn 7.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts. Nathaniel Dell rates as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a remarkable 4.6 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile. This year, the feeble Denver Broncos pass defense has given up a massive 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.

The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Courtland Sutton has run a route on 91.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among WRs. In this game, Courtland Sutton is expected by the projections to land in the 85th percentile among wideouts with 7.8 targets. With an exceptional 4.4 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton ranks among the leading wide receivers in the league in football.