LAC -6.0 o42.0
NE 6.0 u42.0
DEN 3.5 o50.0
CIN -3.5 u50.0
ARI 6.5 o47.5
LA -6.5 u47.5
NYJ 10.0 o45.5
BUF -10.0 u45.5
DAL 7.5 o38.0
PHI -7.5 u38.0
LV -1.0 o37.5
NO 1.0 u37.5
CAR 8.5 o48.0
TB -8.5 u48.0
IND -8.5 o40.0
NYG 8.5 u40.0
TEN 1.0 o39.0
JAC -1.0 u39.0
MIA -4.5 o35.0
CLE 4.5 u35.0
GB 1.0 o48.0
MIN -1.0 u48.0
ATL 4.0 o47.0
WAS -4.0 u47.0
DET -3.5 o50.5
SF 3.5 u50.5
Final Dec 25
KC 29 -1.5 o46.0
PIT 10 1.5 u46.0
Final Dec 25
BAL 31 -6.5 o47.5
HOU 2 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 26
SEA 6 -4.0 o42.0
CHI 3 4.0 u42.0
Cleveland 2nd AFC North11-6
Los Angeles 2nd NFC West10-7
FOX

Cleveland @ Los Angeles props

SoFi Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Puka Nacua Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect Puka Nacua to notch 9.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Puka Nacua has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 31.6% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Puka Nacua checks in as one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 6.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Puka Nacua

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.8

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect Puka Nacua to notch 9.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Puka Nacua has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 31.6% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Puka Nacua checks in as one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 6.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Kyren Williams Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Under
-145
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Under
-145
Projection Rating

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL. The Rams O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board. Kyren Williams's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 80.0% to 65.9%. The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.1%) versus running backs this year (77.1%).

Kyren Williams

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL. The Rams O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board. Kyren Williams's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 80.0% to 65.9%. The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.1%) versus running backs this year (77.1%).

Amari Cooper Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

A. Cooper
wide receiver WR • Cleveland
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

A passing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog this week. Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The Browns have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 66.5 plays per game. The leading projections forecast Amari Cooper to earn 8.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs. Amari Cooper places in the 87th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 61.3 mark this year.

Amari Cooper

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.2

A passing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog this week. Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The Browns have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 66.5 plays per game. The leading projections forecast Amari Cooper to earn 8.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs. Amari Cooper places in the 87th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 61.3 mark this year.

David Njoku Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

D. Njoku
tight end TE • Cleveland
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

A passing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog this week. Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The Browns have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 66.5 plays per game. Our trusted projections expect David Njoku to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs. With a high 21.5% Target% (95th percentile) this year, David Njoku has been as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the league.

David Njoku

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

A passing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog this week. Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The Browns have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 66.5 plays per game. Our trusted projections expect David Njoku to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs. With a high 21.5% Target% (95th percentile) this year, David Njoku has been as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the league.

Jerome Ford Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

J. Ford
running back RB • Cleveland
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

A passing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog this week. Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The Browns have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 66.5 plays per game. With a remarkable 49.6% Route Participation% (83rd percentile) this year, Jerome Ford stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the league. This year, the shaky Rams pass defense has given up a colossal 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-biggest rate in the NFL.

Jerome Ford

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

A passing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog this week. Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The Browns have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 66.5 plays per game. With a remarkable 49.6% Route Participation% (83rd percentile) this year, Jerome Ford stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the league. This year, the shaky Rams pass defense has given up a colossal 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-biggest rate in the NFL.

Tyler Higbee Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

T. Higbee
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Tyler Higbee's 82.6% Route Participation Rate this year reflects a noteworthy improvement in his passing offense volume over last year's 69.7% rate. In this game, Tyler Higbee is forecasted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 81st percentile among tight ends with 4.2 targets.

Tyler Higbee

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Tyler Higbee's 82.6% Route Participation Rate this year reflects a noteworthy improvement in his passing offense volume over last year's 69.7% rate. In this game, Tyler Higbee is forecasted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 81st percentile among tight ends with 4.2 targets.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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