San Francisco @ Philadelphia props

A passing game script is implied by the Eagles being a -3-point underdog this week. The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 58.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Eagles this year (a monstrous 60.9 per game on average). Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 7th-most in the league. A.J. Brown's receiving performance has gotten a boost this season, averaging 6.7 adjusted receptions vs a mere 5.2 last season.

A passing game script is implied by the Eagles being a -3-point underdog this week. The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 58.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Eagles this year (a monstrous 60.9 per game on average). Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

A passing game script is implied by the Eagles being a -3-point underdog this week. The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 58.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Eagles this year (a monstrous 60.9 per game on average). Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 7th-most in the league. D'Andre Swift has been one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

Opposing teams have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense this year: most in the NFL. In this week's contest, George Kittle is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 94th percentile among TEs with 6.0 targets. With a RATE1-RATE2 point uptick in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, George Kittle has been more prominently relied on in his offense's passing attack. With an excellent 4.2 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) this year, George Kittle ranks among the leading tight ends in the pass game in the league. This year, the anemic Eagles pass defense has been torched for a massive 78.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 5th-worst rate in football.

Opposing teams have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense this year: most in the NFL. Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to total 5.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs. Christian McCaffrey's receiving performance has gotten better this season, accumulating 4.4 adjusted catches vs a mere 3.1 last season. Christian McCaffrey's 89.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a significant gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 85.1% mark. This year, the anemic Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded a whopping 86.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 6th-highest rate in football.

Opposing teams have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense this year: most in the NFL. The predictive model expects Brandon Aiyuk to notch 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts. Brandon Aiyuk's 67.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 58.8. With a terrific 4.6 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk has been among the top pass-catching WRs in football. Brandon Aiyuk's 72.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteable gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 68.9% mark.