DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
Cincinnati 4th AFC North9-8
Jacksonville 2nd AFC South9-8
ESPN

Cincinnati @ Jacksonville props

EverBank Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tanner Hudson Receptions Made Props • Cincinnati

T. Hudson
tight end TE • Cincinnati
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
+160

The Bengals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning. This week's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -10.5-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in football. Tanner Hudson's 3.7 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects an impressive improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 1.7 mark.

Tanner Hudson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

The Bengals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning. This week's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -10.5-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in football. Tanner Hudson's 3.7 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects an impressive improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 1.7 mark.

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Made Props • Cincinnati

J. Chase
wide receiver WR • Cincinnati
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
+107
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
+107
Projection Rating

The Bengals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning. This week's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -10.5-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in football. With an outstanding 6.8 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase places as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

Ja'Marr Chase

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.3

The Bengals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning. This week's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -10.5-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in football. With an outstanding 6.8 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase places as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

Travis Etienne Jr. Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

T. Etienne Jr.
running back RB • Jacksonville
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.3 plays per game. Travis Etienne has run more routes this season (63.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (48.8%). In this game, Travis Etienne is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets. Travis Etienne's pass-catching performance been refined this year, accumulating 3.3 adjusted receptions vs a mere 2.1 last year. The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

Travis Etienne Jr.

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.3 plays per game. Travis Etienne has run more routes this season (63.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (48.8%). In this game, Travis Etienne is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets. Travis Etienne's pass-catching performance been refined this year, accumulating 3.3 adjusted receptions vs a mere 2.1 last year. The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

Christian Kirk Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

C. Kirk
wide receiver WR • Jacksonville
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-175

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.3 plays per game. The predictive model expects Christian Kirk to total 6.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Christian Kirk has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 22.3% this year, which ranks in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Christian Kirk is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an exceptional 5.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 89th percentile. The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

Christian Kirk

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.2

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.3 plays per game. The predictive model expects Christian Kirk to total 6.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Christian Kirk has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 22.3% this year, which ranks in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Christian Kirk is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an exceptional 5.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 89th percentile. The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

Joe Mixon Receptions Made Props • Cincinnati

J. Mixon
halfback HB • Cincinnati
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Over
-154

The Bengals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning. This week's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -10.5-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in football. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (83.3%) to RBs this year (83.3%).

Joe Mixon

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

The Bengals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning. This week's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -10.5-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in football. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (83.3%) to RBs this year (83.3%).

Evan Engram Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

E. Engram
tight end TE • Jacksonville
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5
Best Odds
Over
-174

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.3 plays per game. The leading projections forecast Evan Engram to total 6.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among TEs. Evan Engram's 42.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 36.6. Evan Engram's pass-catching performance improved this year, totaling 5.8 adjusted catches vs a measly 4.3 last year. The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81.2%) versus tight ends this year (81.2%).

Evan Engram

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.3 plays per game. The leading projections forecast Evan Engram to total 6.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among TEs. Evan Engram's 42.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 36.6. Evan Engram's pass-catching performance improved this year, totaling 5.8 adjusted catches vs a measly 4.3 last year. The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81.2%) versus tight ends this year (81.2%).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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