DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
Jacksonville 2nd AFC South9-8
Cleveland 2nd AFC North11-6
CBS

Jacksonville @ Cleveland props

Huntington Bank Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Amari Cooper Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

A. Cooper
wide receiver WR • Cleveland
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 132.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. The Browns have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 66.3 plays per game. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. The model projects Amari Cooper to notch 7.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

Amari Cooper

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

The Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 132.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. The Browns have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 66.3 plays per game. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. The model projects Amari Cooper to notch 7.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

David Njoku Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

D. Njoku
tight end TE • Cleveland
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

The Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 132.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. The Browns have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 66.3 plays per game. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. The predictive model expects David Njoku to accrue 6.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

David Njoku

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.8

The Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 132.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. The Browns have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 66.3 plays per game. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. The predictive model expects David Njoku to accrue 6.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Calvin Ridley Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

C. Ridley
wide receiver WR • Jacksonville
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
-114

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 55.2 plays per game. With an impressive 92.3% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley rates as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league. Calvin Ridley grades out as one of the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging an impressive 4.2 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.

Calvin Ridley

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 55.2 plays per game. With an impressive 92.3% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley rates as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league. Calvin Ridley grades out as one of the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging an impressive 4.2 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.

Evan Engram Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

E. Engram
tight end TE • Jacksonville
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
-124

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 55.2 plays per game. In this week's game, Evan Engram is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.4 targets. Evan Engram's 6.0 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a substantial improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 4.3 rate.

Evan Engram

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.8

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 55.2 plays per game. In this week's game, Evan Engram is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.4 targets. Evan Engram's 6.0 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a substantial improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 4.3 rate.

Travis Etienne Jr. Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

T. Etienne Jr.
running back RB • Jacksonville
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 55.2 plays per game. Travis Etienne's 62.5% Route Participation% this year represents a meaningful boost in his pass game utilization over last year's 48.8% rate. Travis Etienne's receiving skills have gotten better this season, notching 3.3 adjusted receptions compared to just 2.1 last season.

Travis Etienne Jr.

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 55.2 plays per game. Travis Etienne's 62.5% Route Participation% this year represents a meaningful boost in his pass game utilization over last year's 48.8% rate. Travis Etienne's receiving skills have gotten better this season, notching 3.3 adjusted receptions compared to just 2.1 last season.

Jerome Ford Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

J. Ford
running back RB • Cleveland
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

The Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 132.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. The Browns have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 66.3 plays per game. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Jerome Ford to accrue 3.6 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Jerome Ford

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.5

The Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 132.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. The Browns have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 66.3 plays per game. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Jerome Ford to accrue 3.6 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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