Minnesota @ Las Vegas props

The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 55.9% pass rate. The projections expect the Raiders to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 53.9 per game on average). The Minnesota Vikings safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

The Vikings will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. T.J. Hockenson's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this season, averaging 6.6 adjusted receptions vs a measly 3.5 last season. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (82.1%) vs. TEs this year (82.1%).

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 9th-most in the league. The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to accrue 4.4 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs. Josh Jacobs's 21.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 96th percentile for running backs.

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 9th-most in the league. The leading projections forecast Davante Adams to accumulate 10.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. Davante Adams's 82.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 75.0.

The Vikings will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. In this game, Justin Jefferson is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.3 targets. This year, the porous Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered a massive 70.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 5th-worst rate in football.

The Vikings will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Alexander Mattison has been used more as a potential target this season (48.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (22.0%). The Vikings offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.