LAC -4.5 o42.0
NE 4.5 u42.0
DEN 3.5 o49.0
CIN -3.5 u49.0
ARI 6.5 o48.0
LA -6.5 u48.0
NYJ 8.5 o46.5
BUF -8.5 u46.5
DAL 7.5 o39.0
PHI -7.5 u39.0
LV -1.0 o37.5
NO 1.0 u37.5
CAR 8.5 o48.0
TB -8.5 u48.0
IND -8.5 o40.0
NYG 8.5 u40.0
TEN 1.0 o40.0
JAC -1.0 u40.0
MIA -6.5 o39.5
CLE 6.5 u39.5
GB -1.0 o48.0
MIN 1.0 u48.0
ATL 4.0 o47.5
WAS -4.0 u47.5
DET -3.5 o50.5
SF 3.5 u50.5
Final Dec 25
KC 29 -1.5 o46.0
PIT 10 1.5 u46.0
Final Dec 25
BAL 31 -6.5 o47.5
HOU 2 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 26
SEA 6 -4.0 o42.0
CHI 3 4.0 u42.0
Seattle 3rd NFC West9-8
San Francisco 1st NFC West12-5
FOX

Seattle @ San Francisco props

Levi's Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

DK Metcalf Receptions Made Props • Seattle

D. Metcalf
wide receiver WR • Seattle
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
-136

The Seattle Seahawks will be forced to start backup QB Drew Lock in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Seahawks, who are huge -14.5-point underdogs. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.6% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year. With a terrific 4.7 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf has been as one of the best WRs in the game in the league.

DK Metcalf

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.8

The Seattle Seahawks will be forced to start backup QB Drew Lock in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Seahawks, who are huge -14.5-point underdogs. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.6% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year. With a terrific 4.7 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf has been as one of the best WRs in the game in the league.

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

C. McCaffrey
running back RB • San Francisco
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Over
-150

Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. With a top-tier 78.4% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the league. This week, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 98th percentile among RBs with 5.5 targets. Christian McCaffrey's 4.3 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 3.1 mark. Christian McCaffrey's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 85.1% to 88.7%.

Christian McCaffrey

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. With a top-tier 78.4% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the league. This week, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 98th percentile among RBs with 5.5 targets. Christian McCaffrey's 4.3 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 3.1 mark. Christian McCaffrey's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 85.1% to 88.7%.

Noah Fant Receptions Made Props • Seattle

N. Fant
tight end TE • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The Seattle Seahawks will be forced to start backup QB Drew Lock in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Seahawks, who are huge -14.5-point underdogs. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.6% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.

Noah Fant

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2

The Seattle Seahawks will be forced to start backup QB Drew Lock in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Seahawks, who are huge -14.5-point underdogs. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.6% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.

Deebo Samuel Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

D. Samuel
wide receiver WR • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-130

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are a massive favorite by 14.5 points. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 50.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have just 125.9 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week. The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a lowly 53.6 per game on average). The 49ers O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Deebo Samuel

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.3

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are a massive favorite by 14.5 points. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 50.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have just 125.9 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week. The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a lowly 53.6 per game on average). The 49ers O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

George Kittle Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

G. Kittle
tight end TE • San Francisco
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-165

Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. In this week's contest, George Kittle is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.9 targets. George Kittle's 50.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 42.2. With a stellar 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (87th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates as one of the top pass-game tight ends in the league. This year, the poor Seahawks pass defense has been gouged for a monstrous 78.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

George Kittle

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.2

Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. In this week's contest, George Kittle is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.9 targets. George Kittle's 50.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 42.2. With a stellar 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (87th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates as one of the top pass-game tight ends in the league. This year, the poor Seahawks pass defense has been gouged for a monstrous 78.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

Kenneth Walker III Receptions Made Props • Seattle

K. Walker III
running back RB • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Seattle Seahawks will be forced to start backup QB Drew Lock in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Seahawks, who are huge -14.5-point underdogs. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.6% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year. Kenneth Walker's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 77.5% to 83.5%.

Kenneth Walker III

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.6
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.6

The Seattle Seahawks will be forced to start backup QB Drew Lock in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Seahawks, who are huge -14.5-point underdogs. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.6% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year. Kenneth Walker's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 77.5% to 83.5%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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