Minnesota @ Cincinnati props

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their chances: the 9th-highest rate on the slate this week. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are anticipated by the predictive model to call 67.2 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) this year. Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 96.9% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Ja'Marr Chase profiles as one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 6.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 96th percentile.

The Vikings are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings. T.J. Hockenson's 6.4 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a material gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 3.5 mark. The Bengals pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (81.3%) vs. TEs this year (81.3%).

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their chances: the 9th-highest rate on the slate this week. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are anticipated by the predictive model to call 67.2 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) this year. The model projects Joe Mixon to earn 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs. The Vikings pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (93.6%) to running backs this year (93.6%).

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their chances: the 9th-highest rate on the slate this week. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are anticipated by the predictive model to call 67.2 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) this year. Tanner Hudson's 12.6% Target% this season signifies an impressive boost in his passing game usage over last season's 5.3% mark. Tanner Hudson's receiving talent has gotten a boost this year, notching 3.5 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 1.7 last year.

The Vikings are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings. The predictive model expects Ty Chandler to garner 3.7 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs. The predictive model expects Ty Chandler to be a more important option in his team's pass attack in this contest (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.6% in games he has played).

The Vikings are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings. In this week's contest, Justin Jefferson is predicted by the model to rank in the 96th percentile among WRs with 9.5 targets. With an impressive 27.1% Target Rate (94th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.