TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
Washington 4th NFC East4-13
Los Angeles 2nd NFC West10-7
CBS

Washington @ Los Angeles props

SoFi Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyren Williams Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Under
-130

The Rams are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script. Kyren Williams's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 80.0% to 65.9%.

Kyren Williams

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

The Rams are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script. Kyren Williams's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 80.0% to 65.9%.

Puka Nacua Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
+114

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Los Angeles Rams. The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. In this contest, Puka Nacua is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 94th percentile among WRs with 9.3 targets. With an exceptional 29.7% Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua ranks among the WRs with the most usage in the league. With an impressive 6.2 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua stands among the best WRs in the NFL in the league.

Puka Nacua

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.9

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Los Angeles Rams. The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. In this contest, Puka Nacua is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 94th percentile among WRs with 9.3 targets. With an exceptional 29.7% Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua ranks among the WRs with the most usage in the league. With an impressive 6.2 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua stands among the best WRs in the NFL in the league.

Antonio Gibson Receptions Made Props • Washington

A. Gibson
running back RB • Washington
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
+136

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The model projects the Commanders to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. Antonio Gibson has run a route on 46.7% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs. Antonio Gibson is positioned as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a stellar 3.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

Antonio Gibson

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.5

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The model projects the Commanders to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. Antonio Gibson has run a route on 46.7% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs. Antonio Gibson is positioned as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a stellar 3.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

Logan Thomas Receptions Made Props • Washington

L. Thomas
tight end TE • Washington
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
+102

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The model projects the Commanders to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. Logan Thomas has run a route on 75.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends. With an impressive 3.6 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, Logan Thomas stands among the top pass-game TEs in football.

Logan Thomas

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.8

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The model projects the Commanders to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. Logan Thomas has run a route on 75.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends. With an impressive 3.6 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, Logan Thomas stands among the top pass-game TEs in football.

Tyler Higbee Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

T. Higbee
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
-145

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Los Angeles Rams. The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. In this game, Tyler Higbee is expected by the projections to finish in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Washington's unit has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

Tyler Higbee

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.1
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.1

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Los Angeles Rams. The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. In this game, Tyler Higbee is expected by the projections to finish in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Washington's unit has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

Terry McLaurin Receptions Made Props • Washington

T. McLaurin
wide receiver WR • Washington
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
-130

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The model projects the Commanders to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. In this game, Terry McLaurin is projected by the projections to land in the 87th percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets. Terry McLaurin has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 20.9% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Terry McLaurin

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.6

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The model projects the Commanders to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. In this game, Terry McLaurin is projected by the projections to land in the 87th percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets. Terry McLaurin has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 20.9% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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