New Orleans @ Los Angeles props

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their standard game plan. The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. Alvin Kamara's pass-catching performance improved this year, totaling 6.1 adjusted catches vs a mere 3.8 last year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 135.4 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Rams this year (a massive 60.6 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The projections expect Puka Nacua to earn 9.4 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers. Puka Nacua is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an excellent 6.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 135.4 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Rams this year (a massive 60.6 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Tyler Higbee has run fewer routes this year (80.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (69.7%). The projections expect Tyler Higbee to total 4.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their standard game plan. The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. Chris Olave has been one of the leading pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a remarkable 5.4 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 135.0 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The 5th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Rams this year (a massive 60.6 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. This week, Cooper Kupp is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.5 targets.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 135.4 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Rams this year (a massive 60.6 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Kyren Williams has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (70.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.0%). This week, Kyren Williams is projected by the model to place in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.6 targets.