Las Vegas @ Kansas City props

The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the 6th-least pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate. With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 28.57 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the 3rd-slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in football.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week. This week, Isiah Pacheco is projected by the projection model to place in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.8 targets. Isiah Pacheco's 9.1% Target Share this year marks a noteable gain in his passing attack workload over last year's 2.2% rate. The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board. Isiah Pacheco's receiving skills have improved this year, compiling 2.7 adjusted catches compared to a measly 0.8 last year.

The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the least pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate. With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 28.57 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in football. With a feeble 0.9 adjusted receptions per game (25th percentile) this year, Zamir White stands as one of the worst RBs in the pass game in the league.

The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the least pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate. With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 28.57 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in football. Austin Hooper's play as a receiver has declined this year, accumulating a mere 1.2 adjusted receptions vs 2.5 last year.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week. In this game, Travis Kelce is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 99th percentile among tight ends with 8.6 targets. With an extraordinary 23.5% Target Rate (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce has been as one of the tight ends with the most usage in the league. Travis Kelce has been one of the leading pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an exceptional 6.6 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 100th percentile. This year, the porous Raiders pass defense has yielded a massive 78.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the highest rate in football.

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a heavy -10.5-point underdog in this week's game. In this week's game, Davante Adams is anticipated by the predictive model to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 11.0 targets. Davante Adams's 83.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 75.0. The Raiders offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board. With an impressive 5.8 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, Davante Adams rates as one of the best pass-catching WRs in the league.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week. This week, Rashee Rice is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 94th percentile among wide receivers with 9.0 targets. The model projects Rashee Rice to be a more important option in his team's pass game this week (25.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.0% in games he has played). Rashee Rice checks in as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 4.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 89th percentile. This year, the shaky Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the biggest rate in the league.