New York @ Cleveland props

The model projects the Browns to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 65.9 per game on average). The predictive model expects Elijah Moore to earn 8.2 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs. Elijah Moore's 43.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 27.7.

The Jets will be forced to use backup QB Trevor Siemian in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Jets to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by the model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week. Breece Hall's 4.4 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a meaningful improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 2.7 rate.

The model projects the Browns to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 65.9 per game on average). This week, Amari Cooper is predicted by the model to place in the 94th percentile among wide receivers with 9.1 targets. Amari Cooper has been in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 65.8 figure this year.

This game's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Browns, who are heavily favored by 7 points. Opposing offenses have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football. David Njoku's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 77.2% to 67.6%. This year, the tough Jets defense has given up a mere 69.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 5th-best rate in football. The New York Jets linebackers profile as the best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Jets will be forced to use backup QB Trevor Siemian in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Jets to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by the model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week. With a remarkable 3.6 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) this year, Tyler Conklin stands among the top pass-game tight ends in the league.

The Jets will be forced to use backup QB Trevor Siemian in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Jets to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by the model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week. Garrett Wilson's 97.9% Route% this year indicates a remarkable progression in his air attack workload over last year's 86.4% mark.

The model projects the Browns to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 65.9 per game on average). Jerome Ford has run a route on 47.1% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs. In this week's contest, Jerome Ford is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 83rd percentile among RBs with 3.8 targets.