Tennessee @ Houston props

At the moment, the 4th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Houston Texans. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer. The model projects Nico Collins to accumulate 8.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Nico Collins's pass-catching performance been refined this season, averaging 4.8 adjusted receptions compared to just 3.7 last season. The Titans pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.1%) versus WRs this year (71.1%).

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off. In this game, DeAndre Hopkins is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.8 targets. DeAndre Hopkins places in the 97th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 73.8 mark this year.

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.

At the moment, the 4th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Houston Texans. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer. The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.