New Orleans @ Tampa Bay props

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are expected by the model to call 65.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week. The Saints have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. In this week's game, Chris Olave is expected by the projections to rank in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.3 targets. Chris Olave's 5.7 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a meaningful improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 4.6 rate.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. This year, the daunting Saints defense has allowed a puny 58.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-best rate in the league. The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 5th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are expected by the model to call 65.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week. The Saints have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. This week, Alvin Kamara is projected by the projections to place in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 6.7 targets. Alvin Kamara's receiving talent has gotten better this year, accumulating 6.0 adjusted catches compared to a mere 3.8 last year.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.4 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. Cade Otton has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (87.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (63.9%). Cade Otton's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 66.2% to 74.0%.