Chicago @ Green Bay props

The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (just 56.9 per game on average).

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Bears this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average). In this contest, D.J. Moore is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.3 targets. D.J. Moore ranks in the 98th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 76.8 mark this year. D.J. Moore's 5.8 adjusted receptions per game this season represents a meaningful boost in his receiving talent over last season's 3.7 mark.

The leading projections forecast the Packers as the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 58.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Chicago Bears defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.3 per game) this year. The projections expect Jayden Reed to total 7.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts. The Bears safeties project as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

The leading projections forecast the Packers as the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 58.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Chicago Bears defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.3 per game) this year. In this game, Aaron Jones is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 89th percentile among running backs with 4.1 targets. This year, the weak Chicago Bears pass defense has been torched for a staggering 85.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 8th-worst rate in football. The Bears safeties project as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

Romeo Doubs has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Dontayvion Wicks has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Christian Watson has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Scott has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.