LIVE 05:16 3rd Dec 25
KC 16 -1.5 o46.0
PIT 10 1.5 u46.0
BAL -6.5 o47.5
HOU 6.5 u47.5
SEA -3.5 o42.5
CHI 3.5 u42.5
LAC -4.0 o42.0
NE 4.0 u42.0
DEN 3.5 o49.0
CIN -3.5 u49.0
ARI 6.5 o48.0
LA -6.5 u48.0
CAR 8.5 o48.0
TB -8.5 u48.0
IND -8.5 o40.0
NYG 8.5 u40.0
NYJ 10.5 o46.5
BUF -10.5 u46.5
TEN 1.0 o40.0
JAC -1.0 u40.0
DAL 9.0 o41.0
PHI -9.0 u41.0
LV -1.0 o37.5
NO 1.0 u37.5
MIA -6.5 o40.5
CLE 6.5 u40.5
GB -1.0 o49.0
MIN 1.0 u49.0
ATL 4.0 o47.5
WAS -4.0 u47.5
DET -4.0 o50.5
SF 4.0 u50.5
Cleveland 2nd AFC North11-6
Houston 1st AFC South10-7
NBC

Cleveland @ Houston props

NRG Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dalton Schultz Receptions Made Props • Houston

D. Schultz
tight end TE • Houston
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
-140

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 140.2 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide. The model projects Dalton Schultz to notch 6.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Dalton Schultz

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.6

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 140.2 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide. The model projects Dalton Schultz to notch 6.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Jerome Ford Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

J. Ford
running back RB • Cleveland
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Browns to run the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 70.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 63.8 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Jerome Ford is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.2 targets.

Jerome Ford

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.1
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.1

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Browns to run the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 70.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 63.8 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Jerome Ford is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.2 targets.

Amari Cooper Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

A. Cooper
wide receiver WR • Cleveland
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
+118

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Browns to run the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 70.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 63.8 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Amari Cooper to accrue 10.3 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

Amari Cooper

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.6

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Browns to run the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 70.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 63.8 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Amari Cooper to accrue 10.3 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

Nico Collins Receptions Made Props • Houston

N. Collins
wide receiver WR • Houston
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 140.2 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide. The projections expect Nico Collins to accumulate 10.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among WRs.

Nico Collins

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 140.2 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide. The projections expect Nico Collins to accumulate 10.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among WRs.

David Njoku Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

D. Njoku
tight end TE • Cleveland
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Browns to run the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 70.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 63.8 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The model projects David Njoku to garner 9.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.

David Njoku

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.1

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Browns to run the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 70.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 63.8 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The model projects David Njoku to garner 9.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Devin Singletary Receptions Made Props • Houston

D. Singletary
running back RB • Houston
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
-102

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 140.2 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

Devin Singletary

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 140.2 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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