NO 14.5 o43.0
GB -14.5 u43.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 22
MIN 27 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 24 2.5 u43.0
Final Dec 22
NE 21 14.0 o47.5
BUF 24 -14.0 u47.5
Final Dec 22
JAC 14 2.5 o41.5
LV 19 -2.5 u41.5
Final Dec 22
SF 17 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 29 2.0 u44.0
Final Dec 22
TB 24 -4.0 o47.5
DAL 26 4.0 u47.5
Pittsburgh 3rd AFC North10-7
Buffalo 1st AFC East11-6
CBS

Pittsburgh @ Buffalo props

Highmark Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaylen Warren Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

J. Warren
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
+130

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -10-point underdog in this week's contest. In this game, Jaylen Warren is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 100th percentile among running backs with 5.7 targets.

Jaylen Warren

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -10-point underdog in this week's contest. In this game, Jaylen Warren is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 100th percentile among running backs with 5.7 targets.

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

P. Freiermuth
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
+115

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -10-point underdog in this week's contest. In this week's game, Pat Freiermuth is anticipated by the model to slot into the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.4 targets.

Pat Freiermuth

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -10-point underdog in this week's contest. In this week's game, Pat Freiermuth is anticipated by the model to slot into the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.4 targets.

Stefon Diggs Receptions Made Props • Buffalo

S. Diggs
wide receiver WR • Buffalo
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
+102

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Bills being a massive 10-point favorite this week. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Stefon Diggs

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.4

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Bills being a massive 10-point favorite this week. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Made Props • Buffalo

D. Kincaid
tight end TE • Buffalo
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

The leading projections forecast Dalton Kincaid to earn 5.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among tight ends. The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Dalton Kincaid

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

The leading projections forecast Dalton Kincaid to earn 5.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among tight ends. The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Najee Harris Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

N. Harris
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 55.8 per game on average). In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the worst in football this year.

Najee Harris

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.4

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 55.8 per game on average). In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the worst in football this year.

James Cook Receptions Made Props • Buffalo

J. Cook
running back RB • Buffalo
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Under
-125

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Bills being a massive 10-point favorite this week. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

James Cook

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.4

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Bills being a massive 10-point favorite this week. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

George Pickens Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

G. Pickens
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Under
-130

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 55.8 per game on average).

George Pickens

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 55.8 per game on average).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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