Detroit @ San Francisco props

The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to earn 6.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs. Christian McCaffrey's receiving talent has gotten better this season, notching 4.4 adjusted catches vs just 3.1 last season.

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Lions are enormous underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan. Our trusted projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to accrue 11.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs. Amon-Ra St. Brown profiles as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an excellent 7.4 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 99th percentile. Amon-Ra St. Brown is positioned as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a fantastic 74.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 56.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projection model to run just 63.1 total plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Lions are enormous underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan. In this game, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the projection model to slot into the 85th percentile among running backs with 4.9 targets. With an exceptional 3.5 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs places among the top RB receiving threats in the league.

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Lions are enormous underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan. The predictive model expects Sam LaPorta to total 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile among tight ends. With an excellent 5.1 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta places among the leading TEs in the pass game in football.

The model projects Brandon Aiyuk to accrue 7.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts. With a stellar 4.6 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk stands among the leading pass-catching WRs in football. Brandon Aiyuk's 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a noteable growth in his receiving prowess over last year's 68.9% rate.