Seattle @ Atlanta props

The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script. Bijan Robinson's 14.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 24.9. When talking about pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.1%) to RBs this year (78.1%). When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the league.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Drake London's play as a receiver has gotten better this season, notching 6.4 adjusted catches vs a mere 4.3 last season. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.1%) versus wide receivers this year (67.1%).

A passing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a -3-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The model projects the Seahawks to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game. The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.8%) versus WRs this year (75.8%).

A passing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a -3-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The model projects the Seahawks to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game. Kenneth Walker's 5.3 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a substantial growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 1.9 mark.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. This week, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 89th percentile among TEs with 5.5 targets. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (84.7%) to tight ends this year (84.7%).

A passing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a -3-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The model projects the Seahawks to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game. Noah Fant's receiving talent has improved this season, averaging 3.3 adjusted catches compared to a measly 2.3 last season.