Denver @ New Orleans props

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are anticipated by the predictive model to run 69.2 offensive plays in this game: the highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. The Denver Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (34.3 per game) this year.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this game. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see 134.3 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year. The Denver O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this game. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see 134.3 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year. The model projects Javonte Williams to earn 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are anticipated by the predictive model to run 69.2 offensive plays in this game: the highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. The Denver Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (34.3 per game) this year. In this contest, Alvin Kamara is expected by the projection model to finish in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 7.6 targets. Alvin Kamara's 34.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 28.9.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this game. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see 134.3 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Courtland Sutton to accrue 8.2 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are anticipated by the predictive model to run 69.2 offensive plays in this game: the highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. The Denver Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (34.3 per game) this year. The projections expect Juwan Johnson to notch 4.9 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs. Juwan Johnson checks in as one of the top pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.