Pittsburgh @ Atlanta props

The Falcons offense has played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 26.79 seconds per play. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. Our trusted projections expect Kyle Pitts to accrue 7.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among tight ends. Kyle Pitts's 43.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 94th percentile for TEs. The Falcons O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's LB corps has been awful last year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

The Falcons offense has played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 26.79 seconds per play. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.7% of his offense's dropbacks last year, putting him in the 99th percentile among RBs. In this week's contest, Bijan Robinson is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 100th percentile among running backs with 6.2 targets. The Falcons O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Falcons offense has played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 26.79 seconds per play. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. The model projects Drake London to garner 8.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wideouts. Drake London has been a key part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 23.4% last year, which ranks him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs. With a remarkable 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (79th percentile) last year, Drake London places among the best WRs in the game in football.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 69.7% of his offense's passing plays last year, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs. The model projects Pat Freiermuth to notch 4.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends. Pat Freiermuth comes in as one of the best tight ends in the pass game last year, averaging an outstanding 3.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. George Pickens has run a route on 95.1% of his offense's passing plays last year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs. The projections expect George Pickens to total 6.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. George Pickens profiles as one of the leading WRs in the NFL last year, averaging a remarkable 4.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.