Las Vegas @ Kansas City props

The Raiders are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 65.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in football. Jakobi Meyers's 5.9 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a remarkable progression in his receiving ability over last season's 4.5 rate.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their normal approach. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 125.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Raiders to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Kansas City defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

The Raiders are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 65.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in football. Ameer Abdullah's receiving skills have improved this season, totaling 2.8 adjusted catches compared to just 1.2 last season.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their normal approach. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 125.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (66.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.4 plays per game. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally cause increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume. The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board. DeAndre Hopkins's 75.5% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 56.6% mark.