Indianapolis @ New England props

The predictive model expects the Colts offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.45 seconds per snap. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Colts grades out as the 4th-best in football this year. The Patriots linebackers project as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 55.4% of their chances: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

The predictive model expects the Colts offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.45 seconds per snap. Jonathan Taylor's 61.6% Route% this year indicates a noteworthy gain in his passing offense volume over last year's 47.1% mark. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Colts grades out as the 4th-best in football this year. The Patriots linebackers project as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are anticipated by the projection model to run 66.0 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. Rhamondre Stevenson has run a route on 48.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs. This week, Rhamondre Stevenson is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 77th percentile among running backs with 3.2 targets. With an impressive 2.6 adjusted receptions per game (78th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks as one of the top RBs in the pass game in football. Rhamondre Stevenson's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 80.9% to 84.7%.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are anticipated by the projection model to run 66.0 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. Demario Douglas is positioned as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an excellent 4.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 81st percentile. Demario Douglas's 77.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a remarkable progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 64.1% mark. This year, the anemic Colts pass defense has allowed a colossal 72.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-highest rate in football.