Carolina @ Washington props

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With an impressive 79.1% Route Participation Rate (91st percentile) this year, Zach Ertz stands as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the league. The projections expect Zach Ertz to accumulate 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs. Zach Ertz grades out as one of the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging an impressive 3.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a top-tier 57.5% snap rate (77th percentile) this year, Brian Robinson has been among the running backs with the highest volume in football. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Washington Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been gouged for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (96.3%) vs. running backs this year (96.3%).

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Commanders defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL. Diontae Johnson's 54.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a substantial reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 61.3% figure.

A passing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3-point underdog this week. The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Chuba Hubbard has run a route on 50.6% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs. Chuba Hubbard's 3.7 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects an impressive improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 2.3 mark.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this week's game, Terry McLaurin is projected by the projections to finish in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets. Terry McLaurin's 76.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 57.1. Terry McLaurin is positioned as one of the leading WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 4.8 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

A passing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3-point underdog this week. The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's group of LBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the NFL.