Raymond James Stadium
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -3.5-point underdogs. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 9th-highest number on the slate this week. The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (36.8 per game) last year. Our trusted projections expect Zach Ertz to earn 4.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among TEs. With an extraordinary 19.4% Target Rate (92nd percentile) last year, Zach Ertz stands as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in the NFL.
This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -3.5-point underdogs. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 9th-highest number on the slate this week. The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (36.8 per game) last year. With an outstanding 2.4 adjusted receptions per game (75th percentile) last year, Brian Robinson places among the leading running backs in the pass game in the league. Brian Robinson ranks as one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to running backs, catching a fantastic 90.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 95th percentile.
The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.3% pass rate. The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.34 seconds per snap. The Washington Commanders defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (35.4 per game) last year. Cade Otton has run a route on 89.6% of his team's passing plays last year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends. With an outstanding 3.7 adjusted catches per game (82nd percentile) last year, Cade Otton places among the best TE receiving threats in the league.
This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -3.5-point underdogs. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 9th-highest number on the slate this week. The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (36.8 per game) last year. In this contest, Terry McLaurin is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 87th percentile among wideouts with 7.7 targets. Terry McLaurin profiles as one of the top WRs in the game last year, averaging a stellar 4.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
