LIVE End Dec 22
MIN 7 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 0 2.5 u43.0
LIVE 11:00 1st Dec 22
JAC 0 2.5 o41.5
LV 0 -2.5 u41.5
LIVE 11:06 1st Dec 22
NE 7 14.0 o47.5
BUF 0 -14.0 u47.5
LIVE 10:17 1st Dec 22
SF 0 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 0 2.0 u44.0
TB -4.0 o48.0
DAL 4.0 u48.0
NO 14.0 o42.0
GB -14.0 u42.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Los Angeles 2nd AFC West9-6
Atlanta 2nd NFC South8-7
CBS

Los Angeles @ Atlanta props

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Drake London Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

D. London
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Atlanta Falcons. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. In this week's contest, Drake London is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 96th percentile among WRs with 9.7 targets. Drake London's play as a receiver has gotten better this season, notching 5.6 adjusted receptions vs a measly 4.3 last season.

Drake London

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.2

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Atlanta Falcons. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. In this week's contest, Drake London is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 96th percentile among WRs with 9.7 targets. Drake London's play as a receiver has gotten better this season, notching 5.6 adjusted receptions vs a measly 4.3 last season.

Will Dissly Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

W. Dissly
tight end TE • L.A. Chargers
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-102

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 7th-most in the league. The model projects Will Dissly to total 6.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Will Dissly has been a more important option in his offense's passing attack this season (17.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (3.5%). Will Dissly's 3.7 adjusted receptions per game this season represents a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 1.4 figure.

Will Dissly

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 7th-most in the league. The model projects Will Dissly to total 6.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Will Dissly has been a more important option in his offense's passing attack this season (17.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (3.5%). Will Dissly's 3.7 adjusted receptions per game this season represents a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 1.4 figure.

Ladd McConkey Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

L. McConkey
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-160

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 7th-most in the league. This year, the porous Falcons pass defense has given up a whopping 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the largest rate in the NFL.

Ladd McConkey

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.5

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 7th-most in the league. This year, the porous Falcons pass defense has given up a whopping 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the largest rate in the NFL.

Kyle Pitts Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

K. Pitts
tight end TE • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
+110

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Atlanta Falcons. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. In this week's contest, Kyle Pitts is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.3 targets. Kyle Pitts's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 60.1% to 66.3%.

Kyle Pitts

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Atlanta Falcons. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. In this week's contest, Kyle Pitts is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.3 targets. Kyle Pitts's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 60.1% to 66.3%.

Bijan Robinson Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

B. Robinson
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-150

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Atlanta Falcons. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 62.7% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs. Bijan Robinson profiles as one of the best running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an exceptional 4.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Bijan Robinson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Atlanta Falcons. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 62.7% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs. Bijan Robinson profiles as one of the best running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an exceptional 4.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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