DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
Los Angeles 2nd NFC West5-5
Arizona 1st NFC West6-4
FOX

Los Angeles @ Arizona props

State Farm Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cooper Kupp Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

C. Kupp
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
7.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
+120

Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in football.

Cooper Kupp

Prop: 7.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
7.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.1

Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in football.

James Conner Receptions Made Props • Arizona

J. Conner
running back RB • Arizona
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
-105

The model projects the Cardinals to be the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.6% pass rate. With respect to a defense's impact on pace, at 29.31 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been terrific since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

James Conner

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

The model projects the Cardinals to be the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.6% pass rate. With respect to a defense's impact on pace, at 29.31 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been terrific since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

Trey McBride Receptions Made Props • Arizona

T. McBride
tight end TE • Arizona
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-155

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game against the Rams defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football. In this game, Trey McBride is predicted by the projections to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs with 8.2 targets. With a high 20.6% Target Share (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Trey McBride has been as one of the TEs with the most usage in the NFL. With an outstanding 4.7 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Trey McBride has been as one of the leading pass-game tight ends in football.

Trey McBride

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.7

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game against the Rams defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football. In this game, Trey McBride is predicted by the projections to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs with 8.2 targets. With a high 20.6% Target Share (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Trey McBride has been as one of the TEs with the most usage in the NFL. With an outstanding 4.7 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Trey McBride has been as one of the leading pass-game tight ends in football.

Marvin Harrison Receptions Made Props • Arizona

M. Harrison
wide receiver WR • Arizona
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Under
+100

The model projects the Cardinals to be the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.6% pass rate. With respect to a defense's impact on pace, at 29.31 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment. The Rams pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (57.0%). When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been terrific since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

Marvin Harrison

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

The model projects the Cardinals to be the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.6% pass rate. With respect to a defense's impact on pace, at 29.31 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment. The Rams pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (57.0%). When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been terrific since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

Colby Parkinson Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

C. Parkinson
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Under
-140

Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in football.

Colby Parkinson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.1

Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in football.

Kyren Williams Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
+102

The predictive model expects the Rams as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Rams have run the 3rd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 60.7 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. With a remarkable 68.4% Route Participation% (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams rates among the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the NFL. In this week's game, Kyren Williams is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.9 targets.

Kyren Williams

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

The predictive model expects the Rams as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Rams have run the 3rd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 60.7 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. With a remarkable 68.4% Route Participation% (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams rates among the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the NFL. In this week's game, Kyren Williams is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.9 targets.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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