Las Vegas @ Baltimore props

The projections expect the Raiders to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the model to run just 62.8 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week. The 4th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders since the start of last season (only 54.8 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency. Since the start of last season, the stout Ravens defense has yielded a feeble 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 5th-best rate in football.

The projections expect the Raiders to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the model to run just 62.8 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week. The 4th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders since the start of last season (only 54.8 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency. Zamir White has played on 20.0% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 25th percentile among RBs.

Zay Flowers has run a route on 92.0% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers. Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to garner 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs. The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board. With a stellar 5.0 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers ranks as one of the top WRs in the league in football. The Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.9%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (68.9%).

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a massive 7-point favorite in this game. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 50.2% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.56 seconds per play. The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Mark Andrews has run a route on 77.6% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile among TEs. In this game, Mark Andrews is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 91st percentile among tight ends with 5.5 targets. The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board. Mark Andrews is positioned as one of the best tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 4.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile. The Raiders safeties profile as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The Raiders are a huge 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all air attack metrics across the board. The Ravens linebackers project as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.