Atlanta @ Minnesota props

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 8th-most in football. In this contest, T.J. Hockenson is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.1 targets.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 8th-most in football. With an exceptional 99.4% Route Participation% (100th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Falcons being a -6-point underdog this week. The projections expect the Falcons to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year. Drake London's 5.8 adjusted catches per game this year shows a material progression in his receiving skills over last year's 4.3 figure.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Falcons being a -6-point underdog this week. The projections expect the Falcons to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year. Kyle Pitts's 64.0% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a material progression in his receiving ability over last year's 60.1% rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 8th-most in football. Aaron Jones comes in as one of the top RB receiving threats this year, averaging an outstanding 2.9 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board. This year, the stout Minnesota Vikings defense has surrendered a puny 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 6th-lowest rate in football.