Tennessee @ Detroit props

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is expected by the model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.1 targets. While Sam LaPorta has received 8.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Detroit's passing attack in this game at 16.0%. Sam LaPorta's 93.9% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a noteworthy boost in his receiving skills over last season's 71.7% rate.

The Titans may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Mason Rudolph. This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -12.5-point underdogs. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the highest rate among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average). As it relates to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year. Calvin Ridley's receiving talent has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 1.9 adjusted receptions vs 4.6 last season. Calvin Ridley's 34.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a remarkable regression in his receiving ability over last year's 58.9% mark.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. In this contest, Amon-Ra St. Brown is predicted by the projection model to land in the 95th percentile among wideouts with 9.3 targets. With an extraordinary 29.3% Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL. Amon-Ra St. Brown is positioned as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a fantastic 76.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 91st percentile among wide receivers. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Tennessee's unit has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. The predictive model expects Jahmyr Gibbs to accrue 4.5 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs. Jahmyr Gibbs has been a key part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 13.0% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs. Jahmyr Gibbs checks in as one of the best running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an outstanding 3.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 89th percentile. Jahmyr Gibbs's 83.9% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a remarkable growth in his receiving ability over last year's 73.7% mark.

The Titans may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Mason Rudolph. This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -12.5-point underdogs. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the highest rate among all teams this week. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year. Chigoziem Okonkwo's 88.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a meaningful boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 71.8% figure.