Atlanta @ Tampa Bay props

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. While Sterling Shepard has received 6.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Tampa Bay's offense in this week's game at 17.5%. Sterling Shepard's 2.0 adjusted receptions per game this season shows a noteable boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 1.0 rate. This year, the shaky Falcons pass defense has conceded a monstrous 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 61.0% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Cade Otton to total 7.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs. Cade Otton's 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 26.1. Cade Otton's 3.9 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a noteable improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year's 2.9 figure.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 61.0% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The projections expect Rachaad White to total 4.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs. Rachaad White profiles as one of the best RBs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 3.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 97th percentile. Rachaad White's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 91.7% to 96.9%.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 61.0% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. This year, the shaky Falcons pass defense has conceded a monstrous 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.

Bijan Robinson's 15.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 24.9. The Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 132.5 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. The model projects Drake London to earn 9.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among WRs. Drake London's 28.7% Target% this season reflects a substantial improvement in his passing game volume over last season's 23.3% figure. Drake London's receiving performance has been refined this year, compiling 6.3 adjusted catches compared to a mere 4.3 last year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 132.5 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. The projections expect Kyle Pitts to notch 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs. With an excellent 3.3 adjusted catches per game (76th percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts has been as one of the best pass-game tight ends in the NFL. Kyle Pitts's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 60.1% to 64.5%.