CLE 10.0 o47.0
CIN -10.0 u47.0
PHI -3.5 o46.0
WAS 3.5 u46.0
LA -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 3.0 u47.0
NYG 10.0 o43.0
ATL -10.0 u43.0
ARI -5.0 o46.5
CAR 5.0 u46.5
DET -6.5 o47.0
CHI 6.5 u47.0
TEN 4.5 o42.5
IND -4.5 u42.5
MIN -3.0 o42.5
SEA 3.0 u42.5
JAC 2.5 o41.0
LV -2.5 u41.0
SF -1.0 o45.0
MIA 1.0 u45.0
NE 14.0 o46.5
BUF -14.0 u46.5
TB -4.0 o48.0
DAL 4.0 u48.0
NO 14.0 o42.0
GB -14.0 u42.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
San Francisco 4th NFC West6-8
Minnesota 2nd NFC North12-2
CBS

San Francisco @ Minnesota props

U.S. Bank Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Johnny Mundt Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

J. Mundt
tight end TE • Minnesota
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. In this week's game, Johnny Mundt is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.3 targets.

Johnny Mundt

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.1
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.1

A throwing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. In this week's game, Johnny Mundt is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.3 targets.

Jordan Mason Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

J. Mason
running back RB • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Over
-165

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) since the start of last season. While Jordan Mason has received 1.4% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of San Francisco's pass game this week at 9.0%. Since the start of last season, the weak Minnesota Vikings pass defense has surrendered a massive 90.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the highest rate in the league.

Jordan Mason

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.4
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.4

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) since the start of last season. While Jordan Mason has received 1.4% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of San Francisco's pass game this week at 9.0%. Since the start of last season, the weak Minnesota Vikings pass defense has surrendered a massive 90.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the highest rate in the league.

Justin Jefferson Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

J. Jefferson
wide receiver WR • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are forecasted by the predictive model to call only 62.1 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, San Francisco's group of LBs has been very bad last year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

Justin Jefferson

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.3

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are forecasted by the predictive model to call only 62.1 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, San Francisco's group of LBs has been very bad last year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

George Kittle Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

G. Kittle
tight end TE • San Francisco
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-155

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) since the start of last season. George Kittle has run a route on 88.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among TEs. The projections expect George Kittle to notch 6.1 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among tight ends. George Kittle grades out as one of the best pass-game tight ends last year, averaging an impressive 4.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

George Kittle

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) since the start of last season. George Kittle has run a route on 88.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among TEs. The projections expect George Kittle to notch 6.1 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among tight ends. George Kittle grades out as one of the best pass-game tight ends last year, averaging an impressive 4.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

Aaron Jones Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

A. Jones
running back RB • Minnesota
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
-127

A throwing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. Aaron Jones rates as one of the best running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 2.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Aaron Jones

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

A throwing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. Aaron Jones rates as one of the best running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 2.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Deebo Samuel Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

D. Samuel
wide receiver WR • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) since the start of last season. The predictive model expects Deebo Samuel to total 7.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among WRs. With a high 23.9% Target% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Deebo Samuel ranks as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in football. With an exceptional 4.0 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) last year, Deebo Samuel ranks as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in football.

Deebo Samuel

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) since the start of last season. The predictive model expects Deebo Samuel to total 7.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among WRs. With a high 23.9% Target% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Deebo Samuel ranks as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in football. With an exceptional 4.0 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) last year, Deebo Samuel ranks as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in football.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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